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Esport · cs2 · Counter-Strike: your end vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage

Counter-Strike: your end vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage

EsportInizio 6 nov, 20:00 UTCAperto
Prezzo Polymarket · Sì51¢
24h+38
Volume67,69K USD
Movimenti spiegati4

Prezzo e movimenti rilevanti

Rotella, trascinamento o pizzico per ingrandire
Grafico del prezzo con marcatori sui movimenti5¢15¢25¢35¢45¢55¢5 nov, 12:005 nov, 17:515 nov, 23:416 nov, 05:326 nov, 11:231−17.52−63−8.54+11.55−10.56+197+19.5
Prezzo Sì (¢)Movimento al rialzoMovimento al ribassoClic su un marcatore per leggere la spiegazione

Movimento 7 · perché il prezzo si è mosso

Arbitro Senza causa evidente
+19,5 pt
30¢ → 50¢
5 nov, 23:08 UTC → 23:38

Cosa è successo e perché

No fact in the dossier explains the rise in the YES price in the late-evening window on November 5. The only item tied to this match is a listing page published earlier that day, which confirms the November 6 date and so predates the move [90]. A separate listing shows Low Cortisol had another match two days earlier [91], but it gives no result or other information that could have triggered a repricing. The cause of the move is therefore not evident from the available facts.

Leggi il dibattito che lo spiega (versione 3)

Perché sì

Avvocato «sì»
  1. The Robinhood listing for this match was published hours before the price move, so the move is not explained by a new scheduling announcement (168). If the rise reflects other information entering the market, it may not be fully priced in yet. The dossier does not say what that information is, so this argument is tentative.

  2. The match was listed for November 6 well ahead of the start (167). The fixture is therefore firmly scheduled, and the market has had time to form a view. The later upward move from a lower starting level could be continued price discovery toward your end's side, and it need not be a short-lived reaction.

  3. Low Cortisol was listed for a separate match against BORRACHEIROS on November 4, two days before this one (169). A compact group-stage schedule gives your end a recent match to scout. It also means Low Cortisol may have less recovery and preparation time. The dossier gives no result or performance data from that match, so the effect is uncertain, but the schedule detail is a modest point in your end's favor.

  4. The opposing case is right that the Robinhood listing, published at 10:22 UTC, predates the move window. But that only shows the listing did not cause the move. It does not show the move was unfounded. The dossier is a limited set of items and does not claim to capture every input to the price. A lack of a documented trigger is not evidence of overshooting. The listing confirms the match is scheduled and tradable on a visible venue, so the market had a real, live basis for repricing during the window. · replica

  5. The schedule point cuts both ways. Low Cortisol had a separate match listed for November 4, two days before this one. That means the dossier does show a recent competitive workload for them, and the market could weigh it however it likes. The dossier gives no evidence of fatigue, and it gives none of a disadvantage for 'your end' either. So the schedule neither supports nor undermines the higher price. The objection that nothing proves the move is justified is therefore balanced by the fact that nothing proves it is unjustified. · replica

Perché no

Avvocato «no»
  1. The only dossier item tied directly to this match is a Robinhood listing published at 10:22 UTC on November 5, ten hours before the recorded price move. It therefore does not explain the rise, and the move looks like it lacks a documented fundamental trigger. That leaves room for the higher price to reflect short-term trading flow rather than new information.

  2. The listing only confirms that the match was scheduled for November 6. It says nothing about team form, roster status, map pool or head-to-head results, so nothing in the dossier supports a higher likelihood of a 'your end' win. A price that rose sharply with no supporting evidence may have overshot.

  3. The earlier timing of the listing suggests the market already had the available scheduling information well before the move. The later jump therefore cannot be attributed to that information, which weakens the case for the current price as a reflection of new fundamentals.

  4. Low Cortisol had a separate match against BORRACHEIROS scheduled two days before this one. That shows an active competition schedule for them, and the dossier gives no sign that this tournament run disadvantages them. Without evidence of fatigue or disruption, the move toward 'your end' is not supported by their schedule.

  5. The opposing case moves from a timing observation to a directional claim without support. The listing was published hours before the move (168), so the dossier offers no catalyst for the rise. That does not show the rise reflects durable information. The listing only confirms the match was scheduled for November 6 (167). The dossier contains no result, roster or form data to show the later move rests on anything beyond ordinary price fluctuation. · replica

  6. The scheduling argument about the BORRACHEIROS match is speculative. The listing shows only that Low Cortisol had a separate fixture two days earlier (169). It gives no result, workload or performance information, and a two-day gap does not by itself show reduced recovery or preparation time. The claim that your end can scout the opponent also has no support in the dossier. This detail therefore cannot be treated as a real edge for either side. · replica